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Do you think LTE will be everywhere by 2012? Ericsson does!
WiMAX Not Really 4G: Ericsson CTO, Om Malik | Wednesday, August 12, 2009
http://gigaom.com/2009/08/12/wimax-not-really-4g-ericsson-cto/
Hakan Eriksson, chief technology officer of Stockholm, Sweden-based telecom equipment giant Ericsson, doesn’t much care for WiMAX. He doesn’t even think of it as a real 4G wireless technology — though to be fair, since the ITU hasn’t actually set the standard yet, there are no real 4G technologies. “They are four years late so they have to call it 4G,” Eriksson said of the telecom standards organization during a conversation with Om Malik earlier today.
He proceeded to run down the reasons why he feels 4G isn’t a true wireless technology — all while laying the smack down on WiMAX.”There are 400 million people using 3G (HSDPA/WCDMA) technologies today,” he said. “There will be 70 million people using WiMAX in five years.” And by then, of course, Long Term Evolution (LTE), the 4G wireless technology, will be the de facto standard thanks to the patronage of large phone companies such as Verizon, Vodafone and AT&T, Ericsson hopes.
LTE Everywhere
As a result of its sheer scale, LTE will always have a price advantage — and such costs savings will be passed onto devices that utilize the technology. Eriksson drew a comparison to India, where GSM-enabled handsets enjoy a price advantage over their CDMA counterparts. “It will be the same for LTE and WiMAX,” he said. “In the end it will be about the economies of scale.”
LTE, according to Eriksson, is going to have a profound impact on our perception of mobile broadband, noting candidly that most of us in Silicon Valley don’t even enjoy true 3G speeds because our backhaul networks aren’t up to snuff. If we did have more bandwidth, he said, we’d be able to experience the true promise of 3G, which in turn would make us all rethink the possibilities offered by this new mobile broadband platform.
As Dr. Jan Uddenfeldt, SVP and senior adviser of technology to Ericsson’s CEO, pointed out, LTE will eventually move towards 100 Mbps. At those speeds, wireless broadband will start to compete with wired connections, especially that use DSL technology. According to Ericsson’s estimates we should start to see commercial deployments of the technology sometime next year, By 2012, the company expects LTE to be everywhere.
Comment: This analyst totally disagrees with the LTE forecast. We think mobile LTE won’t start to pick up critical mass till 2012 and may never be everywhere. We don’t think that 3G will be everywhere either!
Devices, and the Apps That Run on Them
When we started talking about devices, Eriksson said the next generation of devices would be data-centric — likely a cross between an iPhone and a netbook — with an emphasis on browsing and multimedia technologies. “I think there are a lot of devices that do voice very well, and LTE is all about data,” he said.
Comment: This time I completely agree with Ericsson. Notebooks and netbooks will not be sufficient for 4G networks to really take off. We'll need personalized mobile computing devices like a larger iPhone or iTouch with a better screen.
What do you think about Ericsson's view of WiMAX and LTE?
http://gigaom.com/2009/08/12/wimax-not-really-4g-ericsson-cto/
Hakan Eriksson, chief technology officer of Stockholm, Sweden-based telecom equipment giant Ericsson, doesn’t much care for WiMAX. He doesn’t even think of it as a real 4G wireless technology — though to be fair, since the ITU hasn’t actually set the standard yet, there are no real 4G technologies. “They are four years late so they have to call it 4G,” Eriksson said of the telecom standards organization during a conversation with Om Malik earlier today.
He proceeded to run down the reasons why he feels 4G isn’t a true wireless technology — all while laying the smack down on WiMAX.”There are 400 million people using 3G (HSDPA/WCDMA) technologies today,” he said. “There will be 70 million people using WiMAX in five years.” And by then, of course, Long Term Evolution (LTE), the 4G wireless technology, will be the de facto standard thanks to the patronage of large phone companies such as Verizon, Vodafone and AT&T, Ericsson hopes.
LTE Everywhere
As a result of its sheer scale, LTE will always have a price advantage — and such costs savings will be passed onto devices that utilize the technology. Eriksson drew a comparison to India, where GSM-enabled handsets enjoy a price advantage over their CDMA counterparts. “It will be the same for LTE and WiMAX,” he said. “In the end it will be about the economies of scale.”
LTE, according to Eriksson, is going to have a profound impact on our perception of mobile broadband, noting candidly that most of us in Silicon Valley don’t even enjoy true 3G speeds because our backhaul networks aren’t up to snuff. If we did have more bandwidth, he said, we’d be able to experience the true promise of 3G, which in turn would make us all rethink the possibilities offered by this new mobile broadband platform.
As Dr. Jan Uddenfeldt, SVP and senior adviser of technology to Ericsson’s CEO, pointed out, LTE will eventually move towards 100 Mbps. At those speeds, wireless broadband will start to compete with wired connections, especially that use DSL technology. According to Ericsson’s estimates we should start to see commercial deployments of the technology sometime next year, By 2012, the company expects LTE to be everywhere.
Comment: This analyst totally disagrees with the LTE forecast. We think mobile LTE won’t start to pick up critical mass till 2012 and may never be everywhere. We don’t think that 3G will be everywhere either!
Devices, and the Apps That Run on Them
When we started talking about devices, Eriksson said the next generation of devices would be data-centric — likely a cross between an iPhone and a netbook — with an emphasis on browsing and multimedia technologies. “I think there are a lot of devices that do voice very well, and LTE is all about data,” he said.
Comment: This time I completely agree with Ericsson. Notebooks and netbooks will not be sufficient for 4G networks to really take off. We'll need personalized mobile computing devices like a larger iPhone or iTouch with a better screen.
What do you think about Ericsson's view of WiMAX and LTE?
Replies to This Discussion
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Permalink Reply by Syed Sajjad Sattar on -
Hi,
hope you be fine and happy. Yeah it is the nice topic mean what ill be the future of WiMAX and LTE........or the comparison in between them. Before going in details i wanna discuss the deployments regarding to the LTE. The US is the country where we ill be deploying the LTE first time one commercial bases. And soon it ill be in the market.
And about WiMAX there are large no of countries where it is in progress. and performing well.
And about your qoustion, i disagree mean i don't think that at the end of the 2012 LTE be every where. no it is not possible.
because there are the few reseasons:
1: the operators does not want to spend huge amount of money on such a technology about which most of peoples don't know.
2: untill now in most of the institutes, LTE is not studied. main focus is on 3G.
3: The world ecnomical situation is not stable... and to be stable it ill take some years....... so that's why the people ill not be able to access the new technology.
4: and we can't predict about the market trend about a technology.
5: we are not mature in 3G so how can we be succeeded in the 4G.
Alot more problems are coming in the WiMAX till now.........
ok its all about mine view about the technology future.....
some experts views are to be requested...........
GOOD BYE , Salaam
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